The leaderboard of rent growth leaders shuffled slightly, but the markets remained about the same. Las Vegas took the top spot for annual rent growth in July at 8.4%. Phoenix (8.3%), Sacramento (5.2%), Raleigh/Durham (5.1%) and Greensboro/Winston-Salem (5.0%) rounded out the top five. Austin, Nashville, Riverside, Charlotte, Atlanta, Milwaukee and Cincinnati all saw between 4.0% and 4.8% annual rent growth.
The article also points out that national occupancy rates hit 96.2% in July, the highest they’ve been in 20 years:
Strong leasing activity in this year’s peak season has continued to cause apartment vacancies to drop, with July’s occupancy rate reaching 96.2 percent. That rate, the highest rate since 2000, was up 0.4 points year-over-year.
As usual, occupancy was tightest in the Northeast region, at 97 percent. The West and Midwest were 96.5 percent and 96.4 percent occupied, respectively. Occupancy landed at 95.7 percent in the South. Those rates were up 0.2 points to 0.5 points from a year ago.
Of the nation’s 150 largest apartment markets, 91 meet or exceed the national norm for occupancy and 135 hit the effectively full mark of 95 percent. Only four markets register occupancy below 94 percent, including some supply challenged Texas markets like College Station and Lubbock.
Yardi released its June Yardi Matrix Multifamily Report, its monthly summary of rental market conditions throughout the US, and found that the Triad’s rent growth is among the ten highest in smaller US metro markets. As you can see in the table below the Triad’s overall rent growth over the last year was 4.8%; “Lifestyle” rents increased by 6.2% and the “Renter-by-Necessity” sector of the market increased by 3.7%
Real Data just released their March, 2019 survey report for the Piedmont Triad and the results show that the apartment market continues to be very strong here in the Piedmont Triad. They report that the average vacancy rate is 3.7%, down from 5.5% in March of 2018, and average rent is $898 ($0.943/SF) versus $842 ($0.888) this time last year. From their market summary:
The Triad apartment market continues to tighten with an average vacancy rate at just 3.7%. Over the last year demand has been strong with 2,595 units absorbed, easily offsetting the 1,487 units added to the supply over the same time period.
The development pipeline included 2,081 units under construction and another 4,462 units proposed. Guilford County is the most active with 1,183 units under construction and an average vacancy rate at 3.3%.
The region has posted strong rent growth of 4.5% over the past twelve months…
With demand expected to remain strong, the average vacancy rate should hold close to 4.0% over the next year. Rents will continue to grow an an annual rate of 4% to 4.5%.
You can buy a copy of Real Data’s full report here.
RealPage released its rent report for the first quarter of 2019 which showed that the Triad had the fourth highest increase in the country. From an article in the Triad Business Journal:
Rent prices in the Greensboro/Winston-Salem metro area saw a 5.2 percent increase in the first quarter, with an average rent price of $830.
Greensboro/Winston-Salem ranked No. 4 in rent price increase among large metros, according to a first quarter apartment market report by RealPage Inc. (NASDAQ: RP). Phoenix, Arizona (up 8 percent), nabbed the top spot, followed by Las Vegas, Nevada (up 7.9 percent), and Atlanta, Georgia (up 5.3 percent). Charlotte ranked No. 11, with a 4 percent increase in rent prices.
Greensboro/Winston-Salem outpaced the national average, with U.S. apartment rents increasing by about 3.2 percent on an annual basis.
Six affiliates of the New Jersey-based WG Portfolio are the new owners of Twin City Townhomes in Winston-Salem. The companies paid $10.15 million for the apartment community, according to records on file with the Forsyth County Register of Deeds…
The companies owned the complex for less than a year, paying $7.8 million on Nov. 29, 2017, according to Forsyth County property records. The property occupies about 40 acres and has 27 buildings…
In Greensboro, Margate on Cone Apartments also has new owners.
According to the Guilford County Register of Deeds, Margate CGC LLC of New York and Beth Cone LLC of California paid about $10.6 million for the apartments at 900 E. Cone Blvd…
Real Data’s October survey results show that the apartment market remains very strong in the Piedmont Triad. Their market summary says it best:
The Triad apartment market is tightening with an average vacancy rate at just 4.0%. Over the last year demand has been strong with 2,348 units absorbed, easily offsetting the 1,595 units added to the supply over the same time period.
The development pipeline includes 2,814 units under construction and another 2,141 units proposed…
The region has posted strong rent growth of 3.8% over the past twelve months. The average rental rate is now $876 per month, as compared to $832 just twelve months ago. One bedroom units average $769, two bedrooms rent for an average of $869 and three bedrooms rent at $1,093 on average.
The report also indicates that the average vacancy rate should hold close to 4.0% for the next year and rents will continue to grow at a yearly rate of 3.5-4.5%.
So which submarkets are the hottest in the Triad?
Occupancy – Guilford Northeast (97.5%)
Average Rent – Guilford Central ($1,091)
Average Rent per SF – Forsyth Central ($1.172)
Units Under Construction – Forsyth Central (573)
To get a full copy of the Real Data October, 2018 report go to aptindex.com.
Those of us who were around pre-Great Recession can remember a time when it was relatively commonplace for apartment communities to be converted to condos. Then the mother of all recessions happened and rental housing became the most lucrative, and safest, real estate game in town and we stopped seeing those conversions – if anything we saw condos converting to rental units.
That’s what makes the news of this move in Winston-Salem pretty interesting. From a story in the Triad Business Journal:
Winston-Salem investors Ben Bloodworth and Taylor Williams purchased the 836 Oak Street Lofts apartments in downtown Winston-Salem for $2.75 million with plans to convert the 26 apartments in the former mill facility into condos.
The purchase included 1.22 undeveloped acres adjacent to the apartments.
Bloodworth told Triad Business Journal that all current leases would be honored, and the units would be upfitted and sold as the leases expire.
Downtown Winston-Salem is a particularly hot market in the Triad right now, so this might portend a larger trend across the region, but it will be interesting to see if other investors follow suit, especially in the downtown markets of the Triad’s cities.
Interurban Properties of Centennial, Colo., has purchased Loxley Place Apartments in Winston-Salem for $16.25 million from Graycliff Capital of Greenville. Loxley Place is at 3736 Kings Row in the Mt. Tabor neighborhood, just north of Robinhood Road.
The Triad Business Journal recently published an article on luxury apartments in the Triad, and it contained some good information:
In the Triad area, the average rent price for a two-bedroom apartment falls around $800.
In Winston-Salem, the price is slightly lower, at $777, according to apartment search platform RentCafe. Greensboro’s average rent price for a two-bedroom, is $812, according to RentCafe…
A few apartment complexes that are currently under construction in the Triad include The West End in downtown Winston-Salem. Construction began on the $35 million project in April 2017 and the 229-unit building is set to open in 2019.
A newly-formed investment group in Winston-Salem is finding some happy hunting for apartment communities…in Burlington. From an article in the Triad Business Journal:
Luke Chung and his new Winston-Salem-based VIP Syndicate have purchased the first of what he hopes will be several multifamily communities in the Triad.
Chung started in the city where he hopes to acquire many more properties: Burlington. VIP paid $4.48 million for Clifton Place Apartments at 2575 Eldermont St. to a Burlington LLC managed by Jason DeBoer and Jeffrey Gabriel.
“I’m looking to buy as much as I can in that area,” Chung told Triad Business Journal. “I’m very bullish on the Burlington market. I think there’s potential for a boom there in the near future.”
As the article points out, Burlington is one of the highest growth areas for apartments in the Triad. In fact, according to Real Data’s latest report (Oct, 17) Alamance-Burlington has more units under construction (628) than any other sub-market in the Triad. The next two closest are downtown Greensboro (372) and downtown Winston-Salem (344). With it’s proximity to both the Triad and the western edge of the Triangle market, Alamance-Burlington is uniquely positioned for immediate growth.